Fridays Tight Race Keeps The Vow #1, Ghost Driver Follow up #2, Safe House #3, What This Means Is War #4 Secret Arrietty #9

FRIDAYPM/SATURDAY AM, second UPDATE:Another nailbiter. All of the galleries are saying that The new sony Pictures/Screen Gems’hefty holdoverThe Vow will finish up #1 for Friday with between $7.1M and $7.5M based on whose amounts prove correct. Additionally, it should capture the lengthy holiday, which makes it the greatest Screen Gems movie ever. (Dear Johnmade $80M).But The new sony, whichis searching in a 1-2 finish Friday,is cautioning me the opening gross because of its three dimensional comic adaptationGhost Driver: Spirit Of Vengeance “could go greater because the evening continues”. Therefore the order might change by 'life was imple'.(But most likely not, approximately the relaxation of Hollywood forecasts. “Ghost Driver‘s opening is going to be 1 / 2 of the 2007 original,” an adversary studio professional informs me.Snarks another: “Oncethey began advertising it with Nic Cage, it went downhill.”) A few days ago, Universal’s action holdover Safe Home is likely to fight Ghost Driver 2 for second place all holiday lengthy. Clearly this 4-day Presidents Weekend box office is beginning out very well — maybe $180M, ongoing the ‘up’ streak. That’s +4% over this past year butshort from the 2010 Prez Day record of$238M which incorporated Valentine’s Day. What's obvious already is the fact that thosestrong Valentine’s Day sneak previewsdidn’thelp Foxdebut What This Means Is War Friday much better.Not remarkably, after days of soppy monitoring and moving off its VDay release date, it’ll fall by Saturday behind Warner Bros’ holdoverJourney 2: The Mysterious Island due to its large family matinee bump. Gotta say: when Reese Witherspoon, Chris Pine, and Tom Sturdy combined can’topen a film to $20Mover a 4-day holiday with Micrograms pointing, something is hinky. I believe the general public is fatigued with romantic comedy, even when that one had lots of action and anot-too-lame premise, andis choosingThe Vow‘s romantic drama for something new-up.Disney had really low anticipation because of its latest Studio Ghibli toon from Japan. But even ifThe Secret Realm Of Arrietty looks likethis lengthy weekend’s large flop, Fridaywill function as the greatest opening of the Ghibli film. Full analysis when thenumbers firm. Here’s the very best Ten (based on Friday’s grosses): 1. The Vow (Screen Gems/The new sony) Week 2 [2,958 Theaters] Est Friday $7.1M (-53%), Est 4-Day Holiday $29M, Est Cume $90M 1. Ghost Driver: Spirit Of Vengeance three dimensional (The new sony) NEW [3,174 Theaters] Est Friday $7M, Est 4-day Holiday $25M 3. Safe House (Universal) Week 3 [3,121 Theaters] Est Friday $6.5M (-52%), Est 4-Day Holiday $26M, Est Cume $80M 4.What This Means Is War (Fox) NEW [3,189 Theaters] Est Friday $5.1M, Est 4-Day Holiday $18M 5. Journey 2 three dimensional (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,500 Theaters] Est Friday $4.4M (-33%), Est 4-Day Holiday $26M, Est Cume $59M 6. Chronicle (Fox) Week 3 [2,556 Theaters] Est Friday $2M,Est 4-Day Holiday $10M,Est Cume $53.5M 7. Lady In Black (CBS Films) Week 3 [2,559 Theaters] Est Friday $2M, Est 4-Day Holiday $8M, EstCume $46.6M 8. The Exorcist three dimensional(Luscafilms/Fox) Week 2 [2,655 Theaters] Est Friday $1.9M (-78%), Est 4-Day Holiday $10M, Est Cume $35.9M 9. Secret Realm Of Arrietty (Studio Ghibli/Disney) NEW [1,522 Theaters] Est Friday $1.5M, Est 4-Day Holiday $8M 10. The Gray (Open Road) Week4 [2,107 Theaters] Est Friday $800K, Est 4-Day Holiday $3.7M, Est Cume $48.6 — 1 PM: Rentrak is getting problems with hourly grosses which put a pause on examining matinee amounts. However it lookslikethis 4-day Leader’s Holiday weekend will finish up strong.At this time for today,The new sony Pictures’sequelGhostrider: Spirit Of Vengeanceis opening just pennies from Universal’s holdover Safe House and The new sony Pictures The Vow (for the reason that order).Fox newcomer What This Means Is War isahead of Warner Bros’ holdover Journey 2.Order by weekend’s finish might be same. More later.